6.18 Football Predictions: Data-Driven Insights on Key Matches

6.18 Football Predictions: A Data Analyst’s Take
J-League: Sapporo vs Oita
Sapporo, the relegated team, has been underwhelming this season, sitting mid-table in J2 League. Their recent form shows resilience (only 1 loss in 6 games) but a lack of winning momentum (4 draws). Oita, consistently mid-table, has historically matched up well against Sapporo. My model favors Oita to avoid defeat in regular time.
Prediction: Oita +0.5 | Goal Range: 2-4
K-League: Daejeon vs Gimcheon
Daejeon started strong but has slumped recently (1 win in 7). Gimcheon snapped a 4-game winless streak last week but struggles against Daejeon historically. With Daejeon well-rested (15-day break), they’re poised to exploit Gimcheon’s fatigue.
Prediction: Daejeon -0.5 | Goal Range: 2-4
Club World Cup: Man City vs Raja Casablanca
A mismatch on paper. Man City’s squad depth (Rodri back, new signings) dwarfs Raja’s. Expect a dominant display from Pep’s side.
Prediction: Man City -2.5 | Goal Range: 3-5
UEFA U21 Euros: Denmark vs Finland
Denmark, already qualified, may rotate. Finland must win but lacks firepower against Nordic rivals.
Prediction: Denmark DNB | Goal Range: 2-4
Full Match List with Predictions
- Helsinki vs Haka: Helsinki -1 (but risky at odds)
- Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal: Madrid ML (new manager bounce)
- Slovenia U21 vs Czech U21: Czech +0.5
- England U21 vs Germany U21: Germany +0.5
- Pachuca vs Salzburg: Salzburg ML
All predictions leverage team form, H2H stats, and my proprietary efficiency algorithms.
Data source: Opta, FBRef | Model v3.2
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Hot comment (1)

Previsões ou Profecia?
Meu modelo diz que Oita não perde para o Sapporo… mas se errar, culpo o algoritmo! Quem mais aí confia mais no ‘feeling’ do que nos dados?
Daejeon vs Gimcheon: A Batalha dos Cansados
Daejeon descansou 15 dias, Gimcheon tá morto… até meu avô apostaria nisso! Será que o modelo acerta ou vamos ter surpresa?
Man City x Raja: Isso é Justo?
Raja Casablanca contra o City é tipo eu jogando contra o Messi no FIFA… só falta o Guardiola mandar o time B e ainda assim! Vocês acham que cobre o -2.5?