As a football data analyst from London, I’ve run the numbers on this Gold Cup showdown. Despite Guatemala’s gritty win over Jamaica, Panama’s superior FIFA ranking, recent form, and attacking depth make them clear favorites. Using Bayesian probability models and Opta data, I project a 2-1 or 3-1 victory for Panama with over 2.3 goals. Let’s dig into the stats—because in football, logic beats luck every time.