As a data scientist raised in Islington with Caribbean-British roots, I’ve crunched every pass, shot, and tackle from 78 games — and what I found isn’t luck. It’s probability misaligned. This isn't football chaos; it's a statistical echo. In La Liga de Brasil’s 12th matchweek, draws dominate. Teams like Villa Nova and Ferroviária outperformed models built on instinct. Let me show you where the real edge lies.