As a data analyst who’s modeled over 300 football matches, I walked into the Wolta Redonda vs Avaí game with a clean slate. The final score? 1-1. Not surprising—just perfectly aligned with the numbers. In this breakdown, I’ll reveal how statistical patterns, defensive inefficiencies, and late-game fatigue made this draw inevitable. If you’ve ever bet on ‘surprise’ results, let me show you why probability doesn’t play favorites.

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